Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.273972 0.319057 0.368894 0.428024 0.496223 0.572370 0.663802
2025-04-13 0.191142 0.249065 0.320174 0.413680 0.533192 0.680610 0.876047
2025-04-20 0.152986 0.216115 0.299657 0.417851 0.580282 0.795138 1.100348
2025-04-27 0.133517 0.201417 0.296905 0.440214 0.648961 0.940914 1.379044
2025-05-04 0.116726 0.186490 0.289942 0.453365 0.703690 1.071000 1.648785
2025-05-11 0.101685 0.171130 0.279154 0.457855 0.744208 1.182777 1.902185
2025-05-18 0.088287 0.155895 0.265808 0.455507 0.772302 1.276846 2.136666
2025-05-25 0.076654 0.141593 0.251616 0.449169 0.791997 1.358161 2.357644
2025-06-01 0.067526 0.130130 0.240384 0.445813 0.815308 1.446430 2.597654
2025-06-08 0.058173 0.116795 0.223969 0.430905 0.816130 1.495705 2.774688
2025-06-15 0.055886 0.116370 0.230679 0.458469 0.895598 1.688981 3.223789
2025-06-22 0.048768 0.105441 0.216269 0.444399 0.896019 1.739874 3.418762
2025-06-29 0.042324 0.095083 0.201903 0.429137 0.893380 1.786650 3.614800
2025-07-06 0.036884 0.086051 0.189058 0.415369 0.892199 1.836351 3.822595
2025-07-13 0.033797 0.081671 0.185206 0.419587 0.927709 1.960772 4.189914
2025-07-20 0.032544 0.081242 0.189686 0.442042 1.003647 2.173452 4.756944
2025-07-27 0.030660 0.079049 0.189977 0.455245 1.061044 2.353377 5.273377
2025-08-03 0.028346 0.075464 0.186633 0.459753 1.099618 2.497126 5.726556
2025-08-10 0.025842 0.071018 0.180687 0.457396 1.122192 2.608143 6.118591
2025-08-17 0.023376 0.066294 0.173453 0.451032 1.134643 2.697783 6.471401
2025-08-24 0.021340 0.062397 0.167745 0.447663 1.153720 2.803948 6.871693
2025-08-31 0.018943 0.057142 0.157915 0.432695 1.142817 2.839788 7.111835
2025-09-07 0.018765 0.058108 0.164347 0.460369 1.241069 3.141564 8.010737